About CryptoPrediction
CryptoPrediction tracks what prediction markets say about crypto. The board, ladders, and movers pages are built from public Polymarket and Kalshi data and refresh automatically; each shows when it was fetched. Articles explain what a price implies and what it does not.
How this site works
Which markets get a page
Every Polymarket event tagged crypto with at least $250,000 in lifetime volume gets its own page. Contracts that run minutes or hours ("Up or Down" markets, 5- and 15-minute contracts) and events closing within three days appear on the board but do not get pages. Events that resolved since November 1, 2026 keep their pages, with the result.
How a price is read
We use Polymarket's own display rule: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. A 38 cent YES price is shown as a 38% implied chance. For price ladders, the board shows the rung closest to even money, because that is where the market is least sure.
Charts and comparisons
Charts use Polymarket's public price history at six-hour intervals over 90 days. The Polymarket vs Kalshi pages match Polymarket ladder rungs to Kalshi strikes at the same price level, using each venue's public data, and quote both venues' resolution rules.
Freshness
The board, movers, market pages, and comparisons regenerate at most once an hour and show when their data was fetched.
What we cover
- Odds
- What the markets price, explained.
- Contracts
- How crypto event contracts are built and settled.
- Venues
- The exchanges listing crypto contracts.
- Flows
- Volume and liquidity in crypto prediction markets.
- Opinion
- Our view on crypto contracts and the venues that list them, labeled as opinion.
Data pages
- Crypto odds board: Open crypto markets on Polymarket ranked by 24-hour volume, with implied probability and 7-day change.
- Crypto market pages: One page per crypto prediction market with full price history and every outcome.
- Crypto movers: Biggest 24-hour and 7-day probability swings in crypto markets.
- Bitcoin prediction market odds: Every open Bitcoin market we track, the Polymarket vs Kalshi gap on the 2026 high and low, and our Bitcoin coverage.
- Ethereum prediction market odds: Every open Ethereum market we track, the Polymarket vs Kalshi gap on the 2026 high and low, and our Ethereum coverage.
- Polymarket vs Kalshi: Bitcoin and Ethereum 2026 highs and lows priced on both venues, rung by rung, with each venue's resolution rules.
How we work
Articles are credited to CryptoPrediction Desk. We use AI tools to help research and draft, and every claim is checked against a linked source before publication. The editorial policy has the full rules.