Ethereum prediction market odds
As of November 12, 2026, we track 4 open Ethereum prediction markets on Polymarket, with $286K traded in the last 24 hours. On the "What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?" ladder, the closest-to-even rung is "↓ 1,750" at 28%. The ladder has 30 price levels and $19.9M in total volume.
| Market | Implied chance | 7 days |
|---|---|---|
| What price will Ethereum hit November 9-15?↓ 2,000 | 60% | new |
| What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?↓ 1,750 | 28% | +16 pts |
| What price will Ethereum hit in November?↓ 1,900 | 51% | +37 pts |
| Ethereum all time high by ___?December 31, 2026 | 2% | −1 pts |
Polymarket vs Kalshi on Ethereum
- Ethereum 2026 high
Widest gap at $3,500: 4.5% on Kalshi, 2.4% on Polymarket (+2 pts).
- Ethereum 2026 low
Widest gap at $1,500: 15.5% on Kalshi, 13.2% on Polymarket (+2 pts).
Our Ethereum coverage
- Nov 11, 2026 / Odds
Ethereum 2026 High and Low: What Polymarket and Kalshi PriceAs of November 11, 2026, with ether near $2,064, prediction markets treat its 2026 high as already set in January. A new high above $3,500 trades at 3.55% on Polymarket and 5.5% on Kalshi. A drop below $1,500 trades at 13.25% and 16.5%, and a dip to $2,000 before year-end at 81.5%.
- Nov 11, 2026 / Opinion
Why Kalshi Prices Crypto Long Shots Higher Than PolymarketOur view: Kalshi prices bitcoin and ether tail outcomes higher than Polymarket because its marginal buyer of long shots is a US retail taker with one venue, and nobody is paid to close the gap. On November 11, 2026, Kalshi was higher on 18 of 19 matched rungs; after both venues' taker fees, the executable gap was worth about $38.
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Questions
- What do prediction markets say about Ethereum?
- As of November 12, 2026, we track 4 open Ethereum prediction markets on Polymarket, with $286K traded in the last 24 hours. On the "What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?" ladder, the closest-to-even rung is "↓ 1,750" at 28%. The ladder has 30 price levels and $19.9M in total volume.
- What are the odds: Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 28% as of November 12, 2026, up 16 points from a week earlier. A 28 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds: Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 84% as of November 12, 2026, up 58 points from a week earlier. A 84 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
Prices are implied probabilities from Polymarket order books: the bid-ask midpoint when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Markets with under $250,000 in lifetime volume and contracts that last minutes or hours are left out. Not trading advice.