Odds

What the markets price, explained.

• Nov 11, 2026
  Clarity Act Odds: What Polymarket and Kalshi Price After the Midterms

  As of November 11, 2026, prediction markets give the Clarity Act almost no chance of becoming law this year: 2.15% on Polymarket and 3.45% on Kalshi. The odds fell from 81.5% in February after a failed Senate vote and the Democratic midterm sweep. Kalshi puts 19% on any crypto market structure law before 2028.

• Nov 11, 2026
  Ethereum 2026 High and Low: What Polymarket and Kalshi Price

  As of November 11, 2026, with ether near $2,064, prediction markets treat its 2026 high as already set in January. A new high above $3,500 trades at 3.55% on Polymarket and 5.5% on Kalshi. A drop below $1,500 trades at 13.25% and 16.5%, and a dip to $2,000 before year-end at 81.5%.

• Nov 10, 2026
  Bitcoin Year-End Odds: What Polymarket and Kalshi Price for 2026

  As of November 10, 2026, with bitcoin near $74,000, prediction markets price a quiet finish. Kalshi's year-end brackets put the most weight on $70,000 to $75,000 (19%) and about 5% on a close at or above $100,000. Polymarket gives a $100,000 touch before 2027 4.5% and a dip to $70,000 69.5%.