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Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

As of November 11, 2026, Polymarket traders put the chance of "Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?" at 5%, up 1 points over the past week. $606K has traded on this market.

Last 90 days

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?: YES price over 90 days0%6%13%19%25%Aug 14, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
The YES price moved from 3% to 5% over 90 days (+1 pts). High: 25% on September 23, 2026. Low: 3% on October 15, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateWill stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
August 14, 20263.2%
August 20, 20263.2%
August 27, 20266.0%
September 3, 20265.9%
September 10, 20264.9%
September 16, 20266.3%
September 23, 202624.9%
September 30, 20266.7%
October 7, 20266.9%
October 15, 20262.5%
October 25, 20263.1%
November 3, 20264.3%
November 11, 20264.6%
November 11, 20264.6%

The contract

OutcomeChance24h7 days24h volume
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?5%new+1 pts$3.7K

Questions

What are the odds: Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Polymarket traders priced it at 5% as of November 11, 2026, up 1 points from a week earlier. A 5 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $500B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is DefiLlama’s Total Stablecoins page, available at: https://defillama.com/stablecoins A data point on the DefiLlama chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published. If the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.