When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is by December 31, 2027 at 22%, ahead of by September 30, 2027 at 15%. $27.3M has traded across 9 outcomes.
Last 90 days
- by December 31, 2027 22%
- by September 30, 2027 14%
- by June 30, 2027 10%
- by March 31, 2027 2%
Show the numbers
| Date | by December 31, 2027 | by September 30, 2027 | by June 30, 2027 | by March 31, 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 20, 2026 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| August 27, 2026 | 29.5% | 22.5% | 15.5% | 10.5% |
| September 3, 2026 | 19.0% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 8.0% |
| September 10, 2026 | 18.0% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 9.5% |
| September 16, 2026 | 28.5% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 7.5% |
| September 23, 2026 | 38.0% | 22.0% | 17.0% | 9.0% |
| September 30, 2026 | 28.5% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 7.0% |
| October 7, 2026 | 30.0% | 23.5% | 16.0% | 10.0% |
| October 13, 2026 | 23.5% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 8.5% |
| October 21, 2026 | 28.0% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 6.5% |
| October 29, 2026 | 25.5% | 19.0% | 12.5% | 3.5% |
| November 6, 2026 | 22.5% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 3.6% |
| November 11, 2026 | 22.0% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 2.5% |
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7 days | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| by December 31, 2027 | 22% | 0 pts | −1 pts | $0 |
| by September 30, 2027 | 15% | 0 pts | −1 pts | $0 |
| by June 30, 2027 | 10% | 0 pts | −1 pts | $0 |
| by March 31, 2027 | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $0 |
| by December 31, 2026 | 0.9% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $0 |
| by September 30, 2025 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| by December 31, 2025 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| by March 31, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| by June 30, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
Questions
- What are the odds for by December 31, 2027 in "When will Bitcoin hit $150k?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 22% as of November 11, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 22 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for by September 30, 2027 in "When will Bitcoin hit $150k?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 15% as of November 11, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 15 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for by June 30, 2027 in "When will Bitcoin hit $150k?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 10% as of November 11, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 10 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
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- Bitcoin best month in 2026? August 92%
- Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes 11%
How it resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.