What are the odds: Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?

Polymarket traders priced it at 53% as of November 12, 2026, up 34 points from a week earlier. A 53 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.

What are the odds: Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?

Polymarket traders priced it at 54% as of November 12, 2026. A 54 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.

What are the odds: Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?

Polymarket traders priced it at 33% as of November 12, 2026. A 33 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

All markets / Open / Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit in November?

As of November 12, 2026, the closest-to-even rung is "↓ 70,000" at 53%. The ladder has 28 price levels and $5.2M in total volume.

The ladder

Chance it reaches

$100,0001%

$97,5001%

$95,0001%

$92,5002%

$90,0004%

$87,5006%

$85,00011%

$82,50017%

$80,00033%

$77,50054%

$75,00083%

Chance it dips to

$72,50080%

$70,00053%

$67,50030%

$65,00017%

$62,50011%

$60,0007%

$57,5004%

$55,0003%

Last 90 days

↓ 70,000 52%
↑ 77,500 55%
↑ 80,000 33%
↓ 67,500 30%

"↓ 70,000" moved from 30% to 52% over 11 days (+22 pts). High: 62% on November 10, 2026. Low: 18% on November 5, 2026.

Show the numbers

Date	↓ 70,000	↑ 77,500	↑ 80,000	↓ 67,500
November 1, 2026	30.0%	83.0%	59.5%	18.5%
November 2, 2026	30.5%	83.0%	59.5%	19.5%
November 3, 2026	39.5%	83.0%	59.5%	25.5%
November 4, 2026	31.5%	83.0%	59.5%	20.5%
November 5, 2026	18.5%	83.0%	59.5%	12.5%
November 6, 2026	40.5%	85.5%	61.0%	27.5%
November 7, 2026	40.5%	82.5%	58.5%	23.5%
November 8, 2026	42.5%	80.5%	55.5%	25.0%
November 9, 2026	48.5%	69.5%	45.5%	29.5%
November 10, 2026	61.5%	50.5%	30.5%	36.5%
November 11, 2026	46.5%	62.0%	39.5%	25.5%
November 12, 2026	51.5%	55.0%	32.5%	29.5%

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	24h	7 days	24h volume
↑ 100,000	1%	0 pts	−2 pts	$21.2K
↑ 97,500	1%	0 pts	−4 pts	$3.7K
↑ 95,000	1%	0 pts	−8 pts	$10.7K
↑ 92,500	2%	0 pts	−13 pts	$12.6K
↑ 90,000	4%	0 pts	−20 pts	$10.9K
↑ 87,500	6%	−1 pts	−33 pts	$4.9K
↑ 85,000	11%	new	−46 pts	$10.9K
↑ 82,500	17%	−1 pts	−62 pts	$10.7K
↑ 80,000 (closed, YES)	100%	new	new	$0
↑ 80,000	33%	+1 pts	new	$1.8K
↑ 77,500 (closed, YES)	100%	new	new	$0
↑ 77,500	54%	+3 pts	new	$2.4K
↑ 75,000 (closed, YES)	100%	new	new	$0
↑ 75,000	83%	+4 pts	new	$7.7K
↓ 80,000 (closed, YES)	100%	new	new	$0
↓ 77,500 (closed, YES)	100%	new	new	$0
↓ 77,500 (closed, YES)	100%	new	new	$0
↓ 77,500 (closed, YES)	100%	new	new	$0
↓ 75,000 (closed, YES)	100%	new	new	$0
↓ 75,000 (closed, YES)	100%	new	new	$0
↓ 72,500	80%	−7 pts	+50 pts	$25.1K
↓ 70,000	53%	−7 pts	+34 pts	$5.6K
↓ 67,500	30%	−3 pts	+17 pts	$10.5K
↓ 65,000	17%	−4 pts	+8 pts	$13.6K
↓ 62,500	11%	−3 pts	+4 pts	$1.3K
↓ 60,000	7%	−1 pts	+2 pts	$2.8K
↓ 57,500	4%	0 pts	+2 pts	$19.0K
↓ 55,000	3%	0 pts	+1 pts	$12.7K

Questions

What are the odds: Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?: Polymarket traders priced it at 53% as of November 12, 2026, up 34 points from a week earlier. A 53 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds: Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?: Polymarket traders priced it at 54% as of November 12, 2026. A 54 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds: Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?: Polymarket traders priced it at 33% as of November 12, 2026. A 33 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?: They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15? ↓ 72,000 45%
What price will XRP hit in November? ↓ 1.00 71%
What price will Ethereum hit in November? ↓ 2,000 79%
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? ↓ 70,000 65%
What price will Ethereum hit November 9-15? ↑ 2,100 68%
What price will Zcash hit in 2026? ↓ 700 46%

How it resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.