What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
As of November 11, 2026, the closest-to-even rung is "↓ 70,000" at 62%. The ladder has 47 price levels and $84.3M in total volume.
The ladder
Chance it reaches
$1,000,0000.1%
$500,0000.1%
$250,0000.1%
$200,0000.3%
$190,0000.5%
$180,0000.4%
$170,0000.5%
$160,0000.7%
$150,0000.8%
$140,0000.9%
$130,0001%
$120,0002%
$110,0002%
$100,0006%
$95,0008%
$90,00017%
Chance it dips to
$70,00062%
$65,00032%
$60,00019%
$55,00011%
$50,0005%
$45,0003%
$40,0002%
$35,0002%
$30,0002%
$25,0001%
$20,0000.7%
$15,0000.6%
$10,0000.5%
$5,0000.3%
Last 90 days
- ↓ 70,000 62%
- ↓ 65,000 32%
- ↓ 60,000 19%
- ↑ 90,000 17%
Show the numbers
| Date | ↓ 70,000 | ↓ 65,000 | ↓ 60,000 | ↑ 90,000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 25, 2026 | 50.5% | 70.0% | 24.5% | 59.0% |
| August 31, 2026 | 62.0% | 39.0% | 28.5% | 48.0% |
| September 6, 2026 | 52.5% | 34.5% | 21.5% | 50.5% |
| September 13, 2026 | 64.0% | 40.5% | 29.5% | 42.0% |
| September 19, 2026 | 46.5% | 28.5% | 18.5% | 59.5% |
| September 25, 2026 | 31.0% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 71.0% |
| October 1, 2026 | 34.5% | 19.5% | 14.5% | 70.5% |
| October 8, 2026 | 34.0% | 18.5% | 11.5% | 64.5% |
| October 14, 2026 | 35.5% | 22.5% | 14.5% | 64.5% |
| October 21, 2026 | 34.5% | 22.0% | 14.5% | 56.5% |
| October 29, 2026 | 35.5% | 21.5% | 14.5% | 41.5% |
| November 4, 2026 | 30.5% | 19.5% | 15.5% | 32.5% |
| November 11, 2026 | 64.5% | 34.5% | 19.5% | 14.5% |
| November 11, 2026 | 61.5% | 31.5% | 18.5% | 16.5% |
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7 days | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 1,000,000 | 0.1% | new | 0 pts | $24.5K |
| ↑ 500,000 | 0.1% | new | 0 pts | $15.2K |
| ↑ 250,000 | 0.1% | new | 0 pts | $500 |
| ↑ 200,000 | 0.3% | new | 0 pts | $2 |
| ↑ 190,000 | 0.5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $0 |
| ↑ 180,000 | 0.4% | new | −1 pts | $0 |
| ↑ 170,000 | 0.5% | new | −1 pts | $324 |
| ↑ 160,000 | 0.7% | 0 pts | −1 pts | $0 |
| ↑ 150,000 | 0.8% | new | −1 pts | $426 |
| ↑ 140,000 | 0.9% | new | −1 pts | $530 |
| ↑ 130,000 | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | $515 |
| ↑ 120,000 | 2% | 0 pts | −1 pts | $35.6K |
| ↑ 110,000 | 2% | −1 pts | −2 pts | $10.7K |
| ↑ 100,000 | 6% | new | −8 pts | $34.4K |
| ↑ 95,000 | 8% | −1 pts | −15 pts | $5.9K |
| ↑ 90,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↑ 90,000 | 17% | new | −25 pts | $46.3K |
| ↑ 85,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↑ 80,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↑ 80,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↑ 75,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↑ 75,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↑ 70,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↑ 70,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↑ 65,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↑ 65,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↓ 85,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↓ 75,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↓ 75,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↓ 70,000 | 62% | −6 pts | +31 pts | $2.2K |
| ↓ 65,000 | 32% | −5 pts | +12 pts | $26.7K |
| ↓ 65,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↓ 60,000 (closed) | n/a | new | new | $0 |
| ↓ 60,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↓ 60,000 | 19% | −4 pts | +6 pts | $26.9K |
| ↓ 60,000 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↓ 55,000 | 11% | −2 pts | +2 pts | $25.9K |
| ↓ 50,000 | 5% | −1 pts | −1 pts | $3.1K |
| ↓ 45,000 | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | $17.1K |
| ↓ 40,000 | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $3.4K |
| ↓ 35,000 | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $14.3K |
| ↓ 30,000 | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $1.7K |
| ↓ 25,000 | 1% | new | 0 pts | $222 |
| ↓ 20,000 | 0.7% | new | 0 pts | $0 |
| ↓ 15,000 | 0.6% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $0 |
| ↓ 10,000 | 0.5% | 0 pts | new | $17 |
| ↓ 5,000 | 0.3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $0 |
Questions
- What are the odds: Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 62% as of November 11, 2026, up 31 points from a week earlier. A 62 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds: Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 32% as of November 11, 2026, up 12 points from a week earlier. A 32 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds: Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 19% as of November 11, 2026, up 6 points from a week earlier. A 19 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
Related crypto markets
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? ↓ 2,000 82%
- What price will Solana hit in 2026? ↓ 80 79%
- What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026? ↓ 70 85%
- What price will XRP hit in 2026? ↓ 1.00 77%
- What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15? ↓ 74,000 100%
- What price will Bitcoin hit in November? ↑ 75,000 86%
How it resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.