Bitcoin best month in 2026?
As of November 12, 2026, the favorite is August at 92%, ahead of December at 7%. $882K has traded across 12 outcomes.
Last 90 days
- August 92%
- December 7%
- November 3%
Show the numbers
| Date | August | December | November |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 14, 2026 | 5.5% | 15.5% | 13.0% |
| August 21, 2026 | 59.4% | 9.5% | 6.5% |
| August 28, 2026 | 79.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| September 5, 2026 | 81.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% |
| September 12, 2026 | 80.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| September 19, 2026 | 83.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| September 26, 2026 | 84.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| October 4, 2026 | 87.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| October 11, 2026 | 80.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| October 19, 2026 | 86.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| October 28, 2026 | 87.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| November 5, 2026 | 90.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| November 12, 2026 | 92.0% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7 days | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August | 92% | 0 pts | +2 pts | $0 |
| December | 7% | 0 pts | +3 pts | $12 |
| November | 3% | 0 pts | −2 pts | $146 |
| January (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| February (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| March (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| April (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| May (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| June (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| July (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| September (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| October (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
Questions
- What are the odds for August in "Bitcoin best month in 2026?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 92% as of November 12, 2026, up 2 points from a week earlier. A 92 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for December in "Bitcoin best month in 2026?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 7% as of November 12, 2026, up 3 points from a week earlier. A 7 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for November in "Bitcoin best month in 2026?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 3% as of November 12, 2026, down 2 points from a week earlier. A 3 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
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How it resolves
This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change. The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered. If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.