What price will Ethena hit in 2026?
As of November 11, 2026, the closest-to-even rung is "↓ 0.12" at 74%. The ladder has 23 price levels and $294K in total volume.
The ladder
Last 90 days
- ↓ 0.12 45%
- ↓ 0.08 42%
- ↑ 0.32 7%
- ↑ 0.60 3%
Show the numbers
| Date | ↓ 0.12 | ↓ 0.08 | ↑ 0.32 | ↑ 0.60 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 25, 2026 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 22.0% | 3.7% |
| August 31, 2026 | 51.5% | 50.0% | 17.5% | 5.7% |
| September 6, 2026 | 56.0% | 47.0% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| September 13, 2026 | 57.0% | 44.5% | 15.5% | 4.5% |
| September 19, 2026 | 85.0% | 51.5% | 19.5% | 5.1% |
| September 25, 2026 | 39.5% | 47.5% | 42.0% | 5.2% |
| October 1, 2026 | 39.0% | 41.5% | 49.5% | 5.0% |
| October 8, 2026 | 38.5% | 48.0% | 49.5% | 5.1% |
| October 14, 2026 | 49.5% | 46.5% | 33.0% | 4.5% |
| October 21, 2026 | 58.5% | 57.0% | 26.5% | 4.1% |
| October 30, 2026 | 53.0% | 45.0% | 24.0% | 4.4% |
| November 5, 2026 | 48.5% | 42.5% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| November 11, 2026 | 44.5% | 41.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7 days | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 1.20 | 2% | +1 pts | +1 pts | $0 |
| ↑ 1.00 | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $0 |
| ↑ 0.80 | 2% | new | −1 pts | $0 |
| ↑ 0.70 | 3% | new | −1 pts | $0 |
| ↑ 0.60 | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $0 |
| ↑ 0.52 | 3% | 0 pts | −1 pts | $28 |
| ↑ 0.48 | 2% | new | −2 pts | $0 |
| ↑ 0.44 | 3% | new | −4 pts | $0 |
| ↑ 0.40 | 3% | new | −4 pts | $0 |
| ↑ 0.36 | 3% | new | −2 pts | $0 |
| ↑ 0.32 | 7% | new | −2 pts | $0 |
| ↑ 0.28 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↑ 0.28 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↑ 0.24 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↑ 0.20 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↓ 0.24 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↓ 0.20 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↓ 0.16 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↓ 0.12 | 74% | +2 pts | −4 pts | $0 |
| ↓ 0.12 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↓ 0.08 | 17% | +4 pts | −1 pts | $0 |
| ↓ 0.08 (closed, YES) | 100% | new | new | $0 |
| ↓ 0.04 | 2% | new | −2 pts | $0 |
Questions
- What are the odds: Will Ethena dip to $0.12 by December 31, 2026?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 74% as of November 11, 2026, down 4 points from a week earlier. A 74 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds: Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 17% as of November 11, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 17 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds: Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 7% as of November 11, 2026, down 2 points from a week earlier. A 7 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
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How it resolves
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethena (ENA/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 15:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ENA/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ENA_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ENA/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.