Will Hibachi launch a token by ___?
As of November 12, 2026, the favorite is December 31, 2027 at 77%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 32%. $419K has traded across 5 outcomes.
Last 90 days
- December 31, 2027 77%
- December 31, 2026 32%
Show the numbers
| Date | December 31, 2027 | December 31, 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| August 14, 2026 | 76.0% | 29.5% |
| August 21, 2026 | 79.0% | 31.5% |
| August 28, 2026 | 93.5% | 57.5% |
| September 5, 2026 | 86.5% | 50.0% |
| September 12, 2026 | 90.5% | 62.0% |
| September 19, 2026 | 91.5% | 41.0% |
| September 26, 2026 | 90.5% | 54.0% |
| October 4, 2026 | 85.5% | 62.0% |
| October 11, 2026 | 89.5% | 56.5% |
| October 19, 2026 | 85.5% | 51.0% |
| October 28, 2026 | 70.5% | 54.0% |
| November 5, 2026 | 79.5% | 47.5% |
| November 12, 2026 | 76.5% | 31.5% |
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7 days | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 77% | +2 pts | −2 pts | $130 |
| December 31, 2026 | 32% | −3 pts | −15 pts | $384 |
| March 31, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| June 30, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| September 30, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
Questions
- What are the odds for December 31, 2027 in "Will Hibachi launch a token by ___?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 77% as of November 12, 2026, down 2 points from a week earlier. A 77 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for December 31, 2026 in "Will Hibachi launch a token by ___?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 32% as of November 12, 2026, down 15 points from a week earlier. A 32 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
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How it resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hibachi officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Hibachi (https://x.com/hibachi_xyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.