Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
As of November 12, 2026, the closest-to-even rung is "$1B" at 5%. The ladder has 3 price levels and $337K in total volume.
The ladder
Last 90 days
- $1B 5%
- $3B 4%
- $2B 3%
Show the numbers
| Date | $1B | $3B | $2B |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 14, 2026 | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% |
| August 21, 2026 | 12.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| August 28, 2026 | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| September 4, 2026 | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
| September 11, 2026 | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| September 18, 2026 | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| September 25, 2026 | 3.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| October 2, 2026 | 3.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| October 9, 2026 | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| October 17, 2026 | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| October 26, 2026 | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% |
| November 4, 2026 | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| November 12, 2026 | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7 days | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3B | 4% | +1 pts | −1 pts | $0 |
| $2B | 3% | 0 pts | −2 pts | $131 |
| $1B | 5% | +1 pts | 0 pts | $0 |
Questions
- What are the odds: Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 5% as of November 12, 2026, up 0 points from a week earlier. A 5 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds: Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 4% as of November 12, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 4 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds: Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 3% as of November 12, 2026, down 2 points from a week earlier. A 3 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
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How it resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.