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Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

As of November 12, 2026, the favorite is Lucid at 7%, ahead of Workhorse at 4%. $262K has traded across 16 outcomes.

Last 90 days

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?: YES price over 90 days0%25%50%75%100%Aug 14, 2026Sep 28, 2026Nov 12, 2026
  • Lucid 7%
  • Workhorse 4%
  • SoundHound AI 4%
  • JetBlue Airways 4%
"Lucid" moved from 12% to 7% over 90 days (−5 pts). High: 41% on November 4, 2026. Low: 4% on November 4, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateLucidWorkhorseSoundHound AIJetBlue Airways
August 14, 202611.8%25.5%10.8%8.0%
August 21, 202611.9%19.0%9.4%9.0%
August 28, 202611.8%36.0%9.4%9.0%
September 5, 20266.1%47.5%9.0%10.5%
September 12, 20265.2%34.0%18.8%7.5%
September 19, 20264.4%8.0%9.6%5.5%
September 26, 20264.5%8.0%8.8%5.0%
October 4, 20264.1%8.0%7.6%6.5%
October 11, 20265.3%20.5%3.3%3.8%
October 19, 20264.5%16.5%3.0%3.5%
October 27, 20265.0%11.5%3.0%5.6%
November 4, 202641.2%5.2%4.0%6.5%
November 12, 20266.8%4.4%4.2%4.0%

Every outcome

OutcomeChance24h7 days24h volume
iRobot (closed, YES)100%newnew$0
Lucid7%−1 pts−28 pts$0
Workhorse4%0 ptsnew$0
SoundHound AI4%0 pts0 pts$0
JetBlue Airways4%0 pts−1 pts$0
Beyond Meat3%−4 pts0 pts$0
Perplexity AI2%new0 pts$0
Rivian2%new−8 pts$0
Xerox2%0 pts−4 pts$0
Lovable2%new−1 pts$0
MicroStrategy2%0 pts−1 pts$0
OpenAI2%new0 pts$0
Carvana1%0 pts−2 pts$0
C3.ai0.9%new−3 pts$0
Anthropic0.8%0 pts−1 pts$0
JC Penney0.5%0 pts−2 pts$0

Questions

What are the odds for Lucid in "Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 7% as of November 12, 2026, down 28 points from a week earlier. A 7 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Workhorse in "Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 4% as of November 12, 2026. A 4 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for SoundHound AI in "Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 4% as of November 12, 2026, up 0 points from a week earlier. A 4 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used. OpenAI: "OpenAI" refers to OpenAI Group PBC, the company that holds the OpenAI business and is controlled by the OpenAI Foundation, its operating subsidiary OpenAI OpCo, LLC, or any other entity that is controlled by, or is under common control with, OpenAI Group PBC and that holds, directly or indirectly, all or substantially all of OpenAI's business and assets at the time of the filing or announcement. Unless named above, foreign entities, financing entities, special purpose vehicles, and entities used to separate specific legal liabilities will not qualify, even if they meet that test. A filing for bankr