Kraken IPO by ___ ?
As of November 12, 2026, the favorite is December 31, 2027 at 54%, ahead of June 30, 2027 at 22%. $1.6M has traded across 6 outcomes.
Last 90 days
- December 31, 2027 62%
- June 30, 2027 42%
- March 31, 2027 7%
- December 31, 2026 4%
Show the numbers
| Date | December 31, 2027 | June 30, 2027 | March 31, 2027 | December 31, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 26, 2026 | 59.5% | 25.0% | 38.5% | 16.5% |
| September 1, 2026 | 54.0% | 56.0% | 48.0% | 9.5% |
| September 7, 2026 | 49.5% | 55.0% | 47.5% | 4.5% |
| September 13, 2026 | 51.0% | 61.5% | 39.5% | 4.3% |
| September 19, 2026 | 75.0% | 50.5% | 25.5% | 5.8% |
| September 25, 2026 | 74.5% | 43.0% | 68.0% | 5.5% |
| October 1, 2026 | 67.0% | 77.5% | 64.5% | 4.6% |
| October 7, 2026 | 75.5% | 31.5% | 14.5% | 4.0% |
| October 13, 2026 | 60.5% | 33.0% | 10.5% | 4.8% |
| October 20, 2026 | 66.0% | 22.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% |
| October 28, 2026 | 83.5% | 37.5% | 22.5% | 5.0% |
| November 4, 2026 | 62.0% | 34.5% | 17.0% | 5.6% |
| November 11, 2026 | 62.0% | 58.0% | 14.0% | 3.7% |
| November 12, 2026 | 62.0% | 42.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7 days | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 54% | −1 pts | −1 pts | $0 |
| June 30, 2027 | 22% | −15 pts | +12 pts | $560 |
| March 31, 2027 | 7% | −7 pts | −11 pts | $1.4K |
| December 31, 2026 | 4% | new | −2 pts | $96 |
| December 31 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| March 31, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
Questions
- What are the odds for December 31, 2027 in "Kraken IPO by ___ ?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 54% as of November 12, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 54 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for June 30, 2027 in "Kraken IPO by ___ ?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 22% as of November 12, 2026, up 12 points from a week earlier. A 22 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for March 31, 2027 in "Kraken IPO by ___ ?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 7% as of November 12, 2026, down 11 points from a week earlier. A 7 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
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- OKX IPO in 2026? Yes 3%
- Consensys IPO by ___ ? December 31, 2026 3%
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- Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ? $1B 5%
- Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 S&P 500 88%
- What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15? ↓ 72,000 43%
How it resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.