Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?
As of November 11, 2026, the closest-to-even rung is "$100M" at 6%. The ladder has 10 price levels and $418K in total volume.
The ladder
Last 90 days
- $100M 6%
- $5M 6%
- $50M 5%
- $25M 5%
Show the numbers
| Date | $100M | $5M | $50M | $25M |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 14, 2026 | 5.1% | 42.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% |
| August 21, 2026 | 6.3% | 36.5% | 6.3% | 12.5% |
| August 28, 2026 | 7.4% | 49.0% | 6.1% | 12.5% |
| September 4, 2026 | 8.0% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 12.5% |
| September 11, 2026 | 8.1% | 43.0% | 8.6% | 13.0% |
| September 18, 2026 | 8.2% | 27.0% | 9.6% | 15.5% |
| September 25, 2026 | 8.1% | 43.0% | 8.2% | 16.5% |
| October 2, 2026 | 9.0% | 27.5% | 7.8% | 12.5% |
| October 9, 2026 | 8.2% | 41.5% | 7.0% | 21.5% |
| October 17, 2026 | 2.8% | 41.0% | 6.0% | 22.0% |
| October 26, 2026 | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% |
| November 4, 2026 | 2.9% | 35.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% |
| November 11, 2026 | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7 days | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2B | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $0 |
| $1B | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $0 |
| $800M | 2% | new | 0 pts | $0 |
| $500M | 2% | new | −1 pts | $0 |
| $300M | 2% | −2 pts | −1 pts | $305 |
| $100M | 6% | new | +3 pts | $0 |
| $50M | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $0 |
| $25M | 5% | new | −2 pts | $0 |
| $10M | 5% | new | −1 pts | $0 |
| $5M | 6% | new | −2 pts | $0 |
Questions
- What are the odds: Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 6% as of November 11, 2026, up 3 points from a week earlier. A 6 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds: Felix Protocol FDV above $5M one day after launch?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 6% as of November 11, 2026, down 2 points from a week earlier. A 6 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds: Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 5% as of November 11, 2026, down 0 points from a week earlier. A 5 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
Related crypto markets
- Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ? $1B 5%
- OKX IPO in 2026? Yes 3%
- Consensys IPO by ___ ? December 31, 2026 3%
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? ↓ 70,000 62%
- What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15? ↓ 74,000 100%
- What price will Bitcoin hit in November? ↑ 75,000 86%
How it resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".