MegaETH airdrop by...?
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is December 31, 2026 at 5%. $2.7M has traded across 8 outcomes.
Last 90 days
Show the numbers
| Date | December 31, 2026 |
|---|---|
| August 14, 2026 | 18.5% |
| August 21, 2026 | 19.0% |
| August 28, 2026 | 14.0% |
| September 4, 2026 | 16.5% |
| September 12, 2026 | 17.5% |
| September 19, 2026 | 13.0% |
| September 26, 2026 | 14.5% |
| October 3, 2026 | 15.0% |
| October 11, 2026 | 22.0% |
| October 19, 2026 | 10.5% |
| October 28, 2026 | 12.5% |
| November 5, 2026 | 11.0% |
| November 11, 2026 | 4.5% |
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7 days | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 5% | −2 pts | −6 pts | $521 |
| September 30 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| December 31 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| June 30, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| January 31, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| February 28, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| February 15, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| March 15, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
Questions
- What are the odds for December 31, 2026 in "MegaETH airdrop by...?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 5% as of November 11, 2026, down 6 points from a week earlier. A 5 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
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How it resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.