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Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?

As of November 11, 2026, the closest-to-even rung is "$100M" at 3%. The ladder has 11 price levels and $258K in total volume.

The ladder

Chance it reaches
$4,000,000,0001%
$3,000,000,0001%
$2,000,000,0001%
$1,000,000,0002%
$700,000,0002%
$500,000,0002%
$300,000,0001%
$200,000,0002%
$100,000,0003%
$75,000,0003%
$50,000,0002%

Last 90 days

Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?: YES price over 90 days0%6%13%19%25%Aug 14, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
  • $100M 3%
  • $75M 3%
  • $200M 2%
  • $700M 2%
"$100M" moved from 8% to 3% over 90 days (−5 pts). High: 9% on August 27, 2026. Low: 1% on October 18, 2026.
Show the numbers
Date$100M$75M$200M$700M
August 14, 20267.5%6.5%6.5%4.9%
August 21, 20265.0%7.5%6.0%2.5%
August 28, 20268.5%6.0%8.0%2.7%
September 4, 20267.0%6.5%7.0%2.7%
September 12, 20266.5%5.0%7.0%3.9%
September 19, 20267.0%7.0%5.5%4.3%
September 26, 20266.5%7.0%5.5%1.5%
October 3, 20263.3%4.0%1.7%1.7%
October 11, 20262.9%3.6%1.7%1.9%
October 19, 20261.9%2.3%1.9%2.2%
October 28, 20265.0%3.8%1.7%2.5%
November 5, 20262.7%3.1%2.5%2.1%
November 11, 20262.6%2.5%2.3%2.1%

Every outcome

OutcomeChance24h7 days24h volume
$4B1%new0 pts$0
$3B1%new0 pts$0
$2B1%newnew$0
$1B2%newnew$0
$700M2%newnew$0
$500M 2%new0 pts$0
$300M1%new0 pts$0
$200M2%0 pts0 pts$0
$100M3%new0 pts$0
$75M3%0 pts−1 pts$0
$50M2%0 pts−1 pts$0

Questions

What are the odds: Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Polymarket traders priced it at 3% as of November 11, 2026, down 0 points from a week earlier. A 3 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds: Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch?
Polymarket traders priced it at 3% as of November 11, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 3 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds: Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Polymarket traders priced it at 2% as of November 11, 2026, down 0 points from a week earlier. A 2 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".