Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
As of November 11, 2026, the closest-to-even rung is "$25M" at 40%. The ladder has 8 price levels and $440K in total volume.
The ladder
Last 90 days
- $25M 48%
- $75M 40%
- $100M 39%
- $50M 38%
Show the numbers
| Date | $25M | $75M | $100M | $50M |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 7, 2026 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| September 13, 2026 | 86.0% | 70.5% | 60.5% | 81.0% |
| September 18, 2026 | 68.5% | 35.0% | 28.0% | 59.5% |
| September 23, 2026 | 77.5% | 75.5% | 74.5% | 66.0% |
| September 28, 2026 | 77.0% | 71.5% | 70.0% | 66.5% |
| October 4, 2026 | 84.0% | 71.0% | 68.5% | 73.0% |
| October 9, 2026 | 80.0% | 71.0% | 43.0% | 75.0% |
| October 14, 2026 | 87.5% | 64.0% | 51.0% | 73.0% |
| October 20, 2026 | 52.0% | 47.5% | 47.5% | 46.5% |
| October 27, 2026 | 45.0% | 39.5% | 35.5% | 45.5% |
| November 2, 2026 | 46.0% | 38.5% | 39.5% | 41.0% |
| November 7, 2026 | 47.5% | 37.0% | 39.0% | 38.5% |
| November 11, 2026 | 47.5% | 39.5% | 39.0% | 37.5% |
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7 days | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $400M | 25% | +4 pts | +7 pts | $1.2K |
| $250M | 24% | +2 pts | +4 pts | $10 |
| $200M | 27% | −1 pts | +2 pts | $0 |
| $150M | 31% | +4 pts | +6 pts | $0 |
| $100M | 39% | +1 pts | +4 pts | $1.3K |
| $75M | 40% | new | +4 pts | $259 |
| $50M | 38% | −1 pts | 0 pts | $150 |
| $25M | 40% | +3 pts | +6 pts | $0 |
Questions
- What are the odds: Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 40% as of November 11, 2026, up 6 points from a week earlier. A 40 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds: Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 40% as of November 11, 2026, up 4 points from a week earlier. A 40 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds: Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 39% as of November 11, 2026, up 4 points from a week earlier. A 39 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
Related crypto markets
- Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ? $1B 5%
- OKX IPO in 2026? Yes 3%
- Consensys IPO by ___ ? December 31, 2026 3%
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? ↓ 70,000 62%
- What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15? ↓ 74,000 100%
- What price will Bitcoin hit in November? ↑ 75,000 86%
How it resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Papertrade (https://x.com/papertrade_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".