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What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

As of November 11, 2026, the closest-to-even rung is "↑ 0.24" at 6%. The ladder has 19 price levels and $308K in total volume.

The ladder

Chance it reaches
$2.23%
$23%
$1.83%
$1.64%
$1.44%
$1.25%
$0.64%
$0.55%
$0.45%
$0.35%
$0.246%

Last 90 days

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?: YES price over 90 days0%13%25%38%50%Aug 14, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
  • ↑ 0.24 6%
  • ↑ 0.50 5%
  • ↑ 0.40 5%
  • ↑ 0.30 5%
"↑ 0.24" moved from 23% to 6% over 90 days (−17 pts). High: 35% on August 30, 2026. Low: 6% on November 9, 2026.
Show the numbers
Date↑ 0.24↑ 0.50↑ 0.40↑ 0.30
August 14, 202622.5%25.5%25.5%27.0%
August 21, 202626.0%30.0%37.0%48.5%
August 28, 202623.0%20.0%21.5%27.5%
September 4, 202624.5%19.0%21.5%27.5%
September 12, 202625.5%19.5%21.5%27.5%
September 19, 202624.5%20.0%22.0%27.5%
September 26, 202623.5%21.5%22.0%27.0%
October 3, 202624.5%21.0%20.5%27.5%
October 11, 202624.5%23.5%21.0%27.5%
October 18, 202624.5%14.5%20.5%26.0%
October 27, 202623.0%11.0%21.0%18.0%
November 4, 202612.5%9.0%21.0%21.5%
November 11, 20265.5%5.0%5.0%5.0%

Every outcome

OutcomeChance24h7 days24h volume
↑ 2.203%new−3 pts$10
↑ 2.003%new+1 pts$0
↑ 1.803%new0 pts$0
↑ 1.604%−1 pts0 pts$12
↑ 1.404%0 pts−1 pts$66
↑ 1.205%0 pts−4 pts$12
↑ 0.604%0 pts−5 pts$0
↑ 0.505%0 pts−4 pts$24
↑ 0.405%new−16 pts$0
↑ 0.305%new−13 pts$0
↑ 0.246%new−7 pts$0
↓ 1.00 (closed, YES)100%newnew$0
↓ 0.80 (closed, YES)100%newnew$0
↓ 0.60 (closed, YES)100%newnew$0
↓ 0.40 (closed, YES)100%newnew$0
↓ 0.20 (closed, YES)100%newnew$0
↓ 0.16 (closed, YES)100%newnew$0
↓ 0.12 (closed, YES)100%newnew$0
↓ 0.08 (closed, YES)100%newnew$0

Questions

What are the odds: Will Plasma reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket traders priced it at 6% as of November 11, 2026, down 7 points from a week earlier. A 6 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds: Will Plasma reach $0.50 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket traders priced it at 5% as of November 11, 2026, down 4 points from a week earlier. A 5 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds: Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket traders priced it at 5% as of November 11, 2026, down 16 points from a week earlier. A 5 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How it resolves

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XPL (XPL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:35 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XPL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XPL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XPL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.