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Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?

As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is December 31, 2026 at 97%. $489K has traded across 5 outcomes.

Last 90 days

Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?: YES price over 90 days0%25%50%75%100%Aug 14, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
"December 31, 2026" moved from 90% to 97% over 90 days (+7 pts). High: 97% on October 25, 2026. Low: 27% on August 22, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateDecember 31, 2026
August 14, 202689.6%
August 21, 202687.8%
August 28, 202670.0%
September 4, 202670.3%
September 12, 202674.9%
September 19, 202683.5%
September 26, 202670.3%
October 3, 202669.7%
October 11, 202670.5%
October 19, 202675.8%
October 28, 202694.5%
November 5, 202694.0%
November 11, 202696.7%

Every outcome

OutcomeChance24h7 days24h volume
December 31, 202697%+2 pts+3 pts$34.5K
December 31, 2025 (closed, NO)0%newnew$0
March 31, 2026 (closed, NO)0%newnew$0
June 30, 2026 (closed, NO)0%newnew$0
September 30, 2026 (closed, NO)0%newnew$0

Questions

What are the odds for December 31, 2026 in "Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 97% as of November 11, 2026, up 3 points from a week earlier. A 97 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.