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Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

As of November 12, 2026, Polymarket traders put the chance of "Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?" at 3%, up 1 points over the past week. $322K has traded on this market.

Last 90 days

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?: YES price over 90 days0%6%13%19%25%Aug 14, 2026Sep 28, 2026Nov 12, 2026
The YES price moved from 6% to 3% over 90 days (−3 pts). High: 11% on September 2, 2026. Low: 2% on October 19, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateWill HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
August 14, 20266.0%
August 21, 20266.5%
August 28, 20266.0%
September 5, 20268.5%
September 12, 20266.5%
September 19, 20266.5%
September 26, 20265.0%
October 4, 20264.5%
October 11, 20263.0%
October 19, 20261.6%
October 28, 20263.5%
November 5, 20262.1%
November 12, 20262.6%

The contract

OutcomeChance24h7 days24h volume
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?3%new+1 pts$0

Questions

What are the odds: Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
Polymarket traders priced it at 3% as of November 12, 2026, up 1 points from a week earlier. A 3 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.