Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is December 31, 2027 at 99%, ahead of September 30, 2027 at 99%. $1.9M has traded across 11 outcomes.
Last 90 days
- December 31, 2027 99%
- September 30, 2027 99%
- June 30, 2027 98%
- March 31, 2027 97%
Show the numbers
| Date | December 31, 2027 | September 30, 2027 | June 30, 2027 | March 31, 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 14, 2026 | 88.6% | 70.5% | 61.3% | 53.0% |
| August 21, 2026 | 86.3% | 70.7% | 67.3% | 59.5% |
| August 28, 2026 | 87.4% | 69.5% | 66.6% | 55.0% |
| September 4, 2026 | 86.3% | 72.0% | 66.5% | 55.0% |
| September 12, 2026 | 85.3% | 71.7% | 70.8% | 59.5% |
| September 19, 2026 | 85.9% | 76.8% | 70.3% | 53.5% |
| September 26, 2026 | 86.2% | 80.4% | 78.9% | 79.5% |
| October 3, 2026 | 82.2% | 71.4% | 68.7% | 61.5% |
| October 11, 2026 | 96.7% | 94.8% | 90.6% | 87.5% |
| October 19, 2026 | 97.5% | 97.3% | 95.0% | 93.0% |
| October 28, 2026 | 98.7% | 99.3% | 99.8% | 99.3% |
| November 6, 2026 | 99.5% | 99.6% | 99.0% | 98.7% |
| November 11, 2026 | 99.2% | 98.9% | 98.1% | 97.4% |
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7 days | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $109 |
| September 30, 2027 | 99% | 0 pts | −1 pts | $0 |
| June 30, 2027 | 98% | −1 pts | 0 pts | $0 |
| March 31, 2027 | 97% | −1 pts | −1 pts | $223 |
| December 31, 2026 | 94% | +2 pts | −1 pts | $7.7K |
| November 30, 2026 | 86% | +18 pts | +6 pts | $8.3K |
| November 15, 2026 | 11% | −6 pts | −47 pts | $24.4K |
| October 31, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| March 31, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| June 30, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| September 30, 2026 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
Questions
- What are the odds for December 31, 2027 in "Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 99% as of November 11, 2026, down 0 points from a week earlier. A 99 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for September 30, 2027 in "Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 99% as of November 11, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 99 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for June 30, 2027 in "Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 98% as of November 11, 2026, down 0 points from a week earlier. A 98 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
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How it resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.