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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

As of November 12, 2026, Polymarket traders put the chance of "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?" at 2%, down 1 points over the past week. $25.2M has traded on this market.

Last 90 days

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: YES price over 90 days0%13%25%38%50%Aug 14, 2026Sep 28, 2026Nov 12, 2026
The YES price moved from 21% to 2% over 90 days (−18 pts). High: 31% on September 14, 2026. Low: 1% on November 10, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
August 14, 202620.5%
August 21, 202625.5%
August 27, 202614.5%
September 3, 202615.5%
September 10, 202616.5%
September 17, 20266.6%
September 23, 20266.3%
September 30, 20265.0%
October 7, 20265.0%
October 16, 20265.9%
October 25, 20263.2%
November 4, 20263.5%
November 11, 20262.1%
November 12, 20262.1%

The contract

OutcomeChance24h7 days24h volume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?2%new−1 pts$22.5K

Questions

What are the odds: Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket traders priced it at 2% as of November 12, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 2 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.