First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is None by December 25, 2026 at 97%, ahead of Cash Cat (CASHCAT) at 2%. $487K has traded across 5 outcomes.
Last 90 days
- None by December 25, 2026 97%
- Cash Cat (CASHCAT) 2%
- Artificial Inu (AI) 1%
- The Black Bull (ANSEM) 0.1%
Show the numbers
| Date | None by December 25, 2026 | Cash Cat (CASHCAT) | Artificial Inu (AI) | The Black Bull (ANSEM) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 3, 2026 | 48.5% | 48.5% | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| September 8, 2026 | 70.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% |
| September 14, 2026 | 85.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| September 19, 2026 | 85.5% | 4.5% | 10.5% | 1.1% |
| September 25, 2026 | 84.5% | 1.2% | 12.5% | 1.1% |
| September 30, 2026 | 83.5% | 3.6% | 12.5% | 1.6% |
| October 6, 2026 | 85.5% | 3.5% | 11.5% | 1.3% |
| October 11, 2026 | 88.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| October 17, 2026 | 91.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| October 23, 2026 | 91.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| October 31, 2026 | 94.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| November 6, 2026 | 96.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| November 11, 2026 | 96.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| November 11, 2026 | 96.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7 days | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None by December 25, 2026 | 97% | 0 pts | +1 pts | $5 |
| Cash Cat (CASHCAT) | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $0 |
| Artificial Inu (AI) | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | $0 |
| The Black Bull (ANSEM) | 0.1% | new | new | $0 |
| NetNet (NET) | 0.1% | new | new | $0 |
Questions
- What are the odds for None by December 25, 2026 in "First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 97% as of November 11, 2026, up 1 points from a week earlier. A 97 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Cash Cat (CASHCAT) in "First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 2% as of November 11, 2026, down 0 points from a week earlier. A 2 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Artificial Inu (AI) in "First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 1% as of November 11, 2026, down 0 points from a week earlier. A 1 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
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How it resolves
This event will resolve to the first of the coins listed below to reach a fully diluted valuation equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000 at any point between the creation of this event and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no coin listed below reaches a fully diluted valuation of $1,000,000,000 or greater by that time, this event will resolve to "None". Fully diluted valuation refers to the figure published by each coin's resolution source, shown as "Fully Diluted Valuation" on CoinGecko and as "FDV" on CoinMarketCap. Circulating supply market cap will not be used. The coins in this event, and their resolution sources, are: - Cash Cat (CASHCAT), Robinhood Chain 0x020bfc650a365f8bb26819deaabf3e21291018b4, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat - Artificial Inu (AI), Robinhood Chain 0x2E8c31162b855A2ffa90F6F8634643Ad6F111e18, CoinMarketCap, https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/artificial-inu-ai/ - The Black Bull (ANSEM), Solana 9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull - NetNet (NET), Robinhood Chain 0xca9c78dd337a67f6e0077f65f5e9218719d30edf, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/netnet A