Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is December 31 at 100%. $1.2M has traded across 3 outcomes.
Last 90 days
Show the numbers
| Date | December 31 |
|---|---|
| August 14, 2026 | 71.5% |
| August 21, 2026 | 85.0% |
| August 28, 2026 | 80.5% |
| September 4, 2026 | 81.5% |
| September 12, 2026 | 85.5% |
| September 19, 2026 | 72.0% |
| September 26, 2026 | 83.5% |
| October 3, 2026 | 78.5% |
| October 11, 2026 | 78.5% |
| October 19, 2026 | 93.5% |
| October 28, 2026 | 90.0% |
| November 5, 2026 | 93.0% |
| November 11, 2026 | 100.0% |
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7 days | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 100% | +17 pts | +7 pts | $8.6K |
| March 31 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
| June 30 (closed, NO) | 0% | new | new | $0 |
Questions
- What are the odds for December 31 in "Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 100% as of November 11, 2026, up 7 points from a week earlier. A 100 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
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How it resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market. An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.